Shin Kikuchi

Assistant Professor at UC San Diego, GPS

PhD in Economics (2025) at MIT

Fields: Trade, Macro-Labor, and Political Economy

shkikuchi@ucsd.edu

CV, Google Scholar


Upcoming Talks

  • UC Riverside (Macro/International) – Jan 2026
  • Columbia University (Japan Economic Seminar) – Feb 2026
  • Hitotsubashi University (Trade/Spatial) - March 2026
  • Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - April 2026
  • Chicago University (Trade/Spatial) – May 2026

Trade / Macro-Labor

1. “Does Skill Abundance Still Matter? The Evolution of Comparative Advantage in the 21st Century”
[Paper PDF] [Slide PDF] [Bib]
Draft Updated: May 2025

2. “Granular Origins of Agglomeration”
[Paper PDF] [Online Appendix PDF] [Slide PDF] [Bib]
with Daniel G O’Connor
Submitted; Draft Updated: Oct. 2025

3. “Welfare Effects of Polarization: Occupational Mobility over the Life-cycle”
[Paper PDF] [Slide PDF] [Bib]
with Sagiri Kitao
Draft Updated: July 2020

4. “Balassa–Samuelson in the Long Run: Qualitative Success, Quantitative Limits”
[Paper PDF] [Bib]
Draft Updated: Jan 2026

Political Economy

5. “Decomposing the Rise of the Populist Radical Right”
[Paper PDF] [Slide PDF] [VoxEU] [Bib]
with Oren Danieli, Noam Gidron, and Ro’ee Levy
Reject and Resubmit at Journal of Political Economy; Draft Updated: Feb. 2024

6. “Distrusting the Out-Party: Partisan Disbelief and Biased Information Processing”
[Paper PDF] [Slide PDF] [AEA RCT Registry] [Bib]
with Yuko Kasuya, Daiki Kishishita, and Yesola Kweon
Draft Updated: Jan. 2026

Japanese Labor Market

7. “Who Bears the Burden? Heterogeneous Labor Market Penalties of Child and Eldercare”
[Paper PDF] [Bib]
Revise and Resubmit at Journal of the Japanese and International Economies; Draft Updated: Dec 2025

8. “Trends in National and Local Market Concentration in Japan: 1980-2020”
[Paper PDF] [Bib]
Draft Updated: May 2025

9. “Automation and Offshoring on Wage Inequality in Japan”
[Paper PDF] [Bib]
Draft Updated: May 2025

10. “Automation and disappearing routine occupations in Japan”
[Paper PDF] [Published ver.] [Bib]
with Ippei Fujiwara and Toyoichiro Shirota
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Volume 74, December 2024

11. “Who Suffers from the COVID-19 Shocks? Labor Market Heterogeneity and Welfare Consequences in Japan”
[Paper PDF] [Published ver.] [Bib]
with Sagiri Kitao and Minamo Mikoshiba
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Volume 59, March 2021